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Fall 2008 Stock Showdown

 By Jordan Meyer

 September 11, 2008

The stock market has certainly been unpredictable over the past nine months.  Beginning in January, the home mortgage crisis has brought havoc upon the entire market.  As a result, the financial sectors of the market have been struggling mightily, as illustrated by the government’s recent overtaking of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Throughout the spring, the Fed attempted to minimize the downturn of the housing market by executing numerous interest rate cuts.  These particular rate cuts have provided relief, but have also resulted in a much weaker dollar and signs of inflation.  Since the cuts, the United States has encountered record energy prices, with oil creeping into the $145/barrel range.  As a result, the prices of consumer goods have risen dramatically, creating difficult times for Americans.  This year’s edition of the “Stock Showdown” features Mr. Adamson’s Financial Management class versus the staff of the MLC Ticker.  The assignment of picking a portfolio of 22, well-diversified stocks has proven to be difficult.  The unpredictable nature of the current market, coupled with the fact that we are in a Presidential Election Year will certainly make this year’s “Showdown” a battle to the finish line.

The 22 stocks chosen for the MLC Ticker portfolio include: Lindsay Corporation (NYSE: LNN), Petroleo Brasileiro SA (NYSE: PBR), Freeport-McMoRan Copper &Gold Inc. (NYSE: FCX), H.J. Heinz Co. (NYSE: HNZ), Apache Corporation (NYSE: APA), Graham Corporation (NYSE: GHM), Exelon Corporation (NYSE: EXC), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO), Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT), Potash (NYSE: POT), Airgas Inc. (NYSE: ARG), Walmart (NYSE: WMT), Wells Fargo Company (NYSE: WFC), TJX Companies Incorporated (NYSE: TJX), Buckle Incorporated (NYSE: BKE), Aeropostale Inc. (NYSE: ARO), Jacobs Engineering Group (NYSE: JEC), ABB Limited (NYSE: ABB), Quanta Services Inc. (NYSE: PWR), Research in Motion Limited (NYSE: RIMM), CSX Corporation (NYSE: CSX).  The portfolio mostly consists of well-diversified domestic stocks, with some foreign influence.

The 22 stocks chosen by Mr. Adamson’s Financial Management Class include: Jacobs Engineering Group (NYSE: JEC), Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE), Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM), Home Depot (NYSE: HD), American Express Company (NYSE: AXP, Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM), Nokia Corp. (NYSE: NOK), Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ), Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEH), LG Display Co., Ldt. (NYSE: LPL), Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER), Lowe’s Corp. (NYSE: L), JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), China Eastern Airlines Corp., Ltd. (NYSE: CEA), Red Hat Inc. (NYSE: RHT), Westar Energy Inc. (NYSE: WR), General Motors Corporation (NYSE: GM), Health Net Inc. (NYSE: HNT), Anheuser-Busch Companies Inc. (NYSE: BUD), UBS Ag (NYSE: UBS), Owens Corning (NYSE: OC), Merck & Co. (NYSE: MRK), Walmart (NYSE: WMT).  The Adamson 22 features some interesting, mostly domesticated picks.  We’ll see if the Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, and Lehman Brothers picks can rebound over the next few months, as picking these stocks now is like to trying to catch a falling knife.

The unpredictability of the stock market over the past nine months should prove to make the next three months of the “Stock Challenge” interesting. The MLC Ticker staff won the first two “Showdowns” and is looking forward to putting another tally in the win column.  Stay up to date and watch for Stock Spotlights on MLC Ticker. (www.mlcticker.biz).